Reform.news Telegram Channel Poll “Who Would You Vote for in the Coordination Council Elections?” – Results

Yesterday morning, we published a poll in our Telegram channel asking “Who would you vote for in the Coordination Council elections?”. For 24 hours, anyone interested could anonymously vote for the electoral blocs participating in the elections. Today, we are publishing the results of the poll — there is a clear leader.

A total of 2,102 people took part in our vote. The poll form was viewed 16,200 times. We did not notice any obvious signs of vote manipulation.

It should be noted that participation in the Telegram poll was not limited to those who are eligible to vote in the Coordination Council elections. Some of those who took part in the poll also indicated that they would not vote in the real elections — there were 637 such respondents, or 30%.

The responses were distributed as follows:

1. Latushka Coalition and the For Freedom Movement (electoral number 9) — 38% (803 votes)
2. “Stop Being Afraid!” (electoral number 3) — 6% (128 votes)
3. Volia Movement (electoral number 4) — 5% (105 votes)
4. “European Choice” (electoral number 2) — 4% (92 votes)
5. “Belarusians of Action” (electoral number 8) — 4% (86 votes)
6. 6/7. “United Civic Platform” (electoral number 5) — 4% (73 votes)
7. 6/7. “Nastup” (electoral number 6) — 4% (73 votes)
8. “Your Voice” (electoral number 1) — 3% (69 votes)
9. “Law and Order” (electoral number 7) — 2% (36 votes)

If the result is adjusted to exclude those who took part in the poll but decided not to vote in the Coordination Council elections, and taking into account the established minimum threshold of 3%, the shares would be distributed as follows:

1. Latushka Coalition and the For Freedom Movement (No. 9) — 56.2%
2. “Stop Being Afraid!” (No. 3) — 9.0%
3. Volia Movement (No. 4) — 7.3%
4. “European Choice” (No. 2) — 6.4%
5. “Belarusians of Action” (No. 8) — 6.0%
6. “United Civic Platform” (No. 5) — 5.1%
7. “Nastup” (No. 6) — 5.1%
8. “Your Voice” (No. 1) — 4.8%

The “Law and Order” list (No. 7), which failed to pass the threshold after receiving an actual 2.5%, would not take part in the distribution of mandates.

If 80 seats were allocated based on the adjusted version after excluding the list below 3% and distributing mandates using the D’Hondt method, the result would be as follows:

1. Latushka Coalition and the For Freedom Movement — 46 seats
2. “Stop Being Afraid!” — 7 seats
3. Volia Movement — 6 seats
4. “European Choice” — 5 seats
5. “Belarusians of Action” — 4 seats
6. “United Civic Platform” — 4 seats
7. “Nastup” — 4 seats
8. “Your Voice” — 4 seats

Please note that this is an unofficial poll. The results of the real elections will differ. Also, check whether we may have made any errors in the calculations.