{"id":565860,"date":"2026-08-05T21:51:07","date_gmt":"2026-08-05T18:51:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/reform.news\/?p=565860"},"modified":"2026-08-06T11:47:29","modified_gmt":"2026-08-06T08:47:29","slug":"fpri-belarusian-su-25s-in-nuclear-exercise-appeared-to-practice-survival-rather-than-nuclear-weapons-employment","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/fpri-belarusian-su-25s-in-nuclear-exercise-appeared-to-practice-survival-rather-than-nuclear-weapons-employment","title":{"rendered":"FPRI: Belarusian Su-25s in \u2018Nuclear\u2019 Exercise Appeared to Practice Survival Rather Than Nuclear Weapons Employment"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/nuclear-weapons-combat-use-drill-begins-in-belarus\">The joint Russian-Belarusian exercise held in May<\/a>, officially presented as training for non-strategic nuclear deterrence forces, appears to have been largely demonstrative in the case of the Belarusian Su-25 attack aircraft. That is the conclusion reached by analysts at the American <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fpri.org\/article\/2026\/08\/lida-shuffle-su-25-nuclear-exercises-in-belarus\/\">Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI)<\/a>, who examined satellite imagery, photographs and video footage of the exercise.<\/p>\n<p>According to the study&#8217;s authors, Belarusian Su-25s did indeed participate in the exercise, but they found no evidence that the aircraft rehearsed the actual employment of tactical nuclear weapons.<\/p>\n<h2>The Exercise Was Not Held in Lida<\/h2>\n<p>The study notes that a similar exercise in 2024 took place at Lida Air Base, home to the 116th Guards Assault Aviation Base, where Belarus&#8217; Su-25 fleet is stationed.<\/p>\n<p>However, analysis of video footage from this year&#8217;s exercise showed that it was conducted elsewhere. By comparing taxiway layouts, the surrounding landscape and satellite imagery of Belarusian airfields, the analysts concluded that the aircraft were operating from the reserve airfield at Babruysk.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_565733\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-565733\" style=\"width: 1424px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pic-2.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-565733\" src=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pic-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1424\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pic-2.jpg 1424w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pic-2-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pic-2-1200x674.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pic-2-768x431.jpg 768w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/pic-2-712x400.jpg 712w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1424px) 100vw, 1424px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-565733\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">2026 exercise.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>According to the authors, satellite imagery indicates that three Su-25s arrived there between May 16 and 19 and departed between May 21 and 23, matching the estimated timeframe of the exercise.<\/p>\n<div id='gallery-1' class='gallery galleryid-565860 gallery-columns-2 gallery-size-large'><figure class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<div class='gallery-icon landscape'>\n\t\t\t\t<a href='https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl01.jpeg'><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"674\" src=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl01-1200x674.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl01-1200x674.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl01-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl01-768x431.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl01-712x400.jpeg 712w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl01.jpeg 1424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div><\/figure><figure class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<div class='gallery-icon landscape'>\n\t\t\t\t<a href='https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl02.jpeg'><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"674\" src=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl02-1200x674.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl02-1200x674.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl02-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl02-768x431.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl02-712x400.jpeg 712w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl02.jpeg 1424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div><\/figure><figure class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<div class='gallery-icon landscape'>\n\t\t\t\t<a href='https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl04.png'><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"674\" src=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl04-1200x674.png\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl04-1200x674.png 1200w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl04-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl04-768x431.png 768w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl04-712x400.png 712w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl04.png 1424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div><\/figure><figure class='gallery-item'>\n\t\t\t<div class='gallery-icon landscape'>\n\t\t\t\t<a href='https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl05.jpeg'><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"674\" src=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl05-1200x674.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-large size-large\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl05-1200x674.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl05-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl05-768x431.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl05-712x400.jpeg 712w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl05.jpeg 1424w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/div><\/figure>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\n<p>In addition to the aircraft, extra equipment, including a helicopter and support vehicles, was deployed to the airfield. The researchers say this indicates the temporary deployment of a unit to a reserve operating location.<\/p>\n<h2>Decoy Aircraft and a Reserve Airfield<\/h2>\n<p>The analysts also identified the use of decoys as another notable feature of the exercise.<\/p>\n<p>Satellite imagery revealed several objects inside hardened aircraft shelters that the researchers assess to be Su-25 mock-ups. They based this conclusion on differences in colour, the absence of characteristic shadows and less distinct outlines compared with actual aircraft.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl03.jpeg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-565735\" src=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl03.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1424\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl03.jpeg 1424w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl03-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl03-1200x674.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl03-768x431.jpeg 768w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/stl03-712x400.jpeg 712w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1424px) 100vw, 1424px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The authors believe these decoys were intended to mislead satellite reconnaissance and precision-guided weapons.<\/p>\n<p>In their view, the relocation of aircraft to a reserve airfield, together with the use of decoys, indicates that Belarus is placing particular emphasis on improving the survivability of its tactical aviation in the event of a conflict.<\/p>\n<h2>\u2018Nuclear\u2019 in Name Only<\/h2>\n<p>The study&#8217;s main conclusion concerns the nuclear aspect of the exercise itself.<\/p>\n<p>The authors compared photographs from the 2024 and 2026 exercises. While, two years ago, the Su-25s carried large training munitions under their wings that may have simulated nuclear aerial bombs\u2014although this has never been confirmed\u2014the aircraft in this year&#8217;s exercise carried much smaller stores.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_565739\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-565739\" style=\"width: 1418px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/bomba01.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-565739\" src=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/bomba01.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1418\" height=\"797\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/bomba01.jpg 1418w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/bomba01-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/bomba01-1200x674.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/bomba01-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/bomba01-712x400.jpg 712w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1418px) 100vw, 1418px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-565739\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">2024 exercise.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<figure id=\"attachment_565740\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-565740\" style=\"width: 1200px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><a href=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/12.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-565740\" src=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/12.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"871\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/12.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/12-300x218.jpg 300w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/12-768x557.jpg 768w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/12-551x400.jpg 551w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/12-1102x800.jpg 1102w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\" \/><\/a><figcaption id=\"caption-attachment-565740\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">2026 exercise. The arrow indicates the compact bomb.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>According to the analysts, the size and shape of these munitions do not match known Russian non-strategic nuclear weapons.<\/p>\n<p><em>\u201cIt\u2019s unclear what these smaller objects are, but we are confident they are not training forms for nuclear weapons. Much like the rest of Belarusian involvement in these exercises, the Su-25 element is nuclear in name only,\u201d<\/em> the report states.<\/p>\n<p>The authors also do not rule out the possibility that the objects carried by the aircraft during the 2024 exercise were not training nuclear weapon mock-ups either, but rather conventional aerial bombs or their replicas.<\/p>\n<h2>Electronic Warfare Systems<\/h2>\n<p>Another feature of this year&#8217;s exercise was the use of electronic warfare pods on the Su-25s.<\/p>\n<p>According to the analysts, these were Belarusian Talisman-family pods developed by Defense Initiatives LLC (Abaronchyja Inicyjatyvy). The systems are designed to counter air-to-air guided missiles by jamming them and creating false targets.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/14.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-565741\" src=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/14.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1424\" height=\"800\" srcset=\"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/14.jpg 1424w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/14-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/14-1200x674.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/14-768x431.jpg 768w, https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/14-712x400.jpg 712w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1424px) 100vw, 1424px\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The researchers believe the use of these systems also reflects an effort to improve aircraft survivability in modern combat.<\/p>\n<h2>Demonstrating Readiness<\/h2>\n<p>The authors conclude that the primary objective of the Belarusian aviation component of the \u201cnuclear\u201d exercise was not practical preparation for employing non-strategic nuclear weapons, but rather demonstrating readiness to carry out such missions and rehearsing measures to preserve the combat effectiveness of the air force.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, the analysts note that even with aircraft dispersal, the use of reserve airfields, decoys and electronic warfare systems, the Su-25 remains an aircraft designed about four decades ago. As a result, its effectiveness against modern layered air defence systems remains open to question.<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\"  id=\"_ytid_70891\"  width=\"480\" height=\"270\"  data-origwidth=\"480\" data-origheight=\"270\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/5NUr4C2L5uk?enablejsapi=1&#038;autoplay=0&#038;cc_load_policy=0&#038;cc_lang_pref=ru&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;loop=0&#038;rel=0&#038;fs=0&#038;playsinline=1&#038;autohide=2&#038;theme=dark&#038;color=red&#038;controls=1&#038;disablekb=0&#038;\" class=\"__youtube_prefs__  epyt-is-override  no-lazyload\" title=\"YouTube player\"  allow=\"fullscreen; accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen data-no-lazy=\"1\" data-skipgform_ajax_framebjll=\"\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The joint Russian-Belarusian exercise held in May, officially presented as training for non-strategic nuclear deterrence forces, appears to have been largely demonstrative in the case of the Belarusian Su-25 attack aircraft. That is the conclusion reached by analysts at the American Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI), who examined satellite imagery, photographs and video footage of [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":119,"featured_media":565855,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_sharing_image":{"poster":"https:\/\/reform.news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/6a744a251e9a0.jpg","width":1200,"height":630,"template":"691142dd","mode":"auto"},"_sharing_image_fieldset":{"dTVKfmI95PYT":"FPRI: Belarusian Su-25s in \u2018Nuclear\u2019 Exercise Appeared to Practice Survival Rather Than Nuclear Weapons Employment"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[142339,142338,143291],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-565860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-main","category-news","category-army"],"wps_subtitle":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/565860","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/119"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=565860"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/565860\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/565855"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=565860"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=565860"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/reform.news\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=565860"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}